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PaulW's avatar

Many thanks for this, Alastair. Thought provoking and essential, so always. I lived in East Africa for nearly 10 years - Uganda - and completely agree with your observations on the people. I miss them, and the tropics, a lot. I suppose you could always rejoin Stocko under a pseudonym...

abtan's avatar

Hi Alastair

I just wanted to say thanks for all of your insightful posts - they are a fascinating read.

Thanks also for sharing your portfolio. If it's okay I'd like to make a comment on 2 of those holdings:

1 - Prysmian.

I looked at this a few months ago and I really wanted to like it. I can see the growth story and where lots of future demand will come from. But once I throw in the ever-increasing capex and relatively stable margins over the last decade (I prefer rising profit margins) I decided that it was too rich for me.

Having said all that I'm keeping an eye on it as it's certainly going to be an exciting company over the next decade.

2 - Airtel.

This is another one I was hoping to like, but I've never quite had the chemistry that I was hoping for.

Whilst the cash generation looks decent, it seemed like a lot of this was coming from customer funds rather than surplus cash generation. Capex costs were also really high and they didn't seem like coming down anytime soon.

Having said all that I have a soft spot for East Africa having travelled extensively in the region 20 years ago (hat tip for your Malawi photo btw) and it's a part of the world that I hope continues to grow.

By coincidence at university I was also good friends with someone who is now in charge of one of the company's main divisions. I won't mention his name but he's an incredibly smart person and I can't ever imagine him not doing a stellar job.

The share price has risen a lot in the last year so my analysis has so far been very wrong. So who knows, maybe there's more to come?

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And now on a completely separate note, I do hope you'll reconsider re-joining Stockopedia. Your comments on that platform are missed.

Cheers

A

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